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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2021 at 9am UK
Miyagi Stadium

Germany U23s
1 - 1
Ivory Coast U23s

Lowen (73')
Arnold (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Henrichs (67' og.)
Kouame (1'), Keita (21')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-23s win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Ivory Coast Under-23s had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Ivory Coast Under-23s win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Germany Under-23sDrawIvory Coast Under-23s
39.31%29.04%31.65%
Both teams to score 44.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.66%62.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01%81.99%
Germany Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82%67.18%
Ivory Coast Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03%35.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.25%72.75%
Score Analysis
    Germany Under-23s 39.31%
    Ivory Coast Under-23s 31.65%
    Draw 29.03%
Germany Under-23sDrawIvory Coast Under-23s
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.57%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.03%
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 31.65%

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