Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mohammed Hussein Ali (9'), Hasan (30')
We said: Morocco 2-1 Iraq
Given the stakes of the game, we expect both sides to go all out in search of maximum points as they look to reach the knockout stages. Morocco boast a superior squad on paper and we fancy them to come away with all three points, albeit the odd goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Iraq Under-23s had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Iraq Under-23s win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco Under-23s would win this match.
| Result |
| Morocco Under-23s | Draw | Iraq Under-23s |
42.46% ( -0.08) | 25.33% ( -0) | 32.21% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.05) |
| 51.99% ( 0.05) | 48.01% ( -0.05) |
| 29.82% ( 0.05) | 70.18% ( -0.05) |
| 77.47% ( -0.01) | 22.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.89% ( -0.02) | 56.11% ( 0.02) |
| 71.78% ( 0.08) | 28.22% ( -0.08) |
