Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali Under-23s win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Paraguay Under-23s had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Paraguay Under-23s win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paraguay Under-23s would win this match.
Result | ||
Paraguay Under-23s | Draw | Mali Under-23s |
16.99% (![]() | 21.07% (![]() | 61.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% (![]() | 44.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% (![]() | 66.42% (![]() |
Paraguay Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.71% (![]() | 39.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.01% (![]() | 75.99% (![]() |
Mali Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.33% (![]() | 13.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.13% (![]() | 40.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paraguay Under-23s | Draw | Mali Under-23s |
1-0 @ 5.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.99% | 1-1 @ 9.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 10.68% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.63% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 61.93% |
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