Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Matmut-Atlantique
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salam Ag Jiddou (56')
We said: Japan 2-1 Mali
Mali looked solid against Israel and we expect them to put up a much better performance against Japan than Paraguay managed, but the Samurai Blue are in a great rhythm in this competition and we feel they will outscore the African nation in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mali Under-23s had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Mali Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Japan Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Japan Under-23s.
| Result |
| Japan Under-23s | Draw | Mali Under-23s |
57.33% ( -7.47) | 23.72% ( 2.06) | 18.95% ( 5.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( 5.15) |
| 48% ( 0.82) | 52% ( -0.82) |
| 26.26% ( 0.7) | 73.74% ( -0.7) |
| 82.07% ( -2.3) | 17.93% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.25% ( -4.1) | 48.75% ( 4.1) |
| 58.32% ( 7.7) | 41.68% ( -7.7) |
