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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2021 at 9am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Saudi Arabia U23s
1 - 3
Brazil U23s

Al Amri (27')
Al-Shahrani (29'), Ali (74'), Aldawsari (80'), Al Bukhari (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cunha (14'), Richarlison (76', 90+3')
Arana (26'), Martinelli (90+6'), Alves (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Brazil Under-23s had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Brazil Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia Under-23sDrawBrazil Under-23s
38.81%23.62%37.57%
Both teams to score 62.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02%38.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7%61.3%
Saudi Arabia Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62%20.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21%52.78%
Brazil Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03%20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27%53.73%
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia Under-23s 38.81%
    Brazil Under-23s 37.57%
    Draw 23.61%
Saudi Arabia Under-23sDrawBrazil Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.45%
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3%
Total : 38.81%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-1 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.57%

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