SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
47.87% ( 0.14) | 25.7% ( -0.04) | 26.43% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.07) | 52.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( 0.06) | 74.13% ( -0.06) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 0.09) | 21.92% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( 0.14) | 55.19% ( -0.14) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.04) | 34.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% ( -0.05) | 71.44% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 47.87% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.43% |
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