Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.
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