SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
52.1% ( -0.5) | 23.54% ( -0.03) | 24.36% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( 0.66) | 45.09% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( 0.63) | 67.43% ( -0.63) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( 0.06) | 17.31% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.33% ( 0.11) | 47.67% ( -0.11) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( 0.81) | 32.46% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( 0.91) | 68.99% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.36% |
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