SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Warta Poznan |
39.55% ( -0.06) | 27.73% ( -0.02) | 32.72% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( 0.07) | 57.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.67% ( 0.06) | 78.33% ( -0.06) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -0) | 28.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% ( -0) | 64.14% ( 0) |
| Warta Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( 0.09) | 32.66% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.79% ( 0.1) | 69.21% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Warta Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.72% |
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