SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Warta Poznan | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
33.43% ( 0.05) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 40.93% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.06) | 48.98% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( 0.05) | 71.07% ( -0.05) |
| Warta Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( 0.06) | 27.91% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( 0.07) | 63.53% ( -0.07) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0) | 23.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( 0.01) | 57.83% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warta Poznan | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.43% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.93% |
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