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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
36.36% ( -0.24) | 25.07% ( 0.06) | 38.57% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54% ( -0.28) | 46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% ( -0.26) | 68.31% ( 0.27) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.26) | 24.77% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.37) | 59.34% ( 0.37) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( -0.03) | 23.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% ( -0.04) | 57.66% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.57% |
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