SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Warta Poznan |
52.65% ( -0.19) | 24.15% ( 0.09) | 23.2% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( -0.27) | 48.83% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( -0.24) | 70.93% ( 0.25) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.18) | 18.51% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.27% ( -0.3) | 49.73% ( 0.3) |
| Warta Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0.05) | 35.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( -0.06) | 72.3% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Warta Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.2% |
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