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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan
R

Lech Poznan
0 - 1
Rakow


Murawski (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Svarnas (45+1')
Svarnas (47'), Tudor (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gdansk 1-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-2 Katowice
Saturday, February 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
43.81% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 26.32% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-0.012 -0.01)53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.59% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)24.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.31% (0.012 0.01)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66%32.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)68.85% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 43.81%
    Rakow Czestochowa 29.87%
    Draw 26.31%
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.87%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Gdansk 1-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 2-1 Lech Poznan
Friday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Lech Poznan
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Katowice
Saturday, November 23 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-2 Legia
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-2 Katowice
Saturday, February 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-0 Rakow
Saturday, February 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 2-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, December 7 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-3 Rakow
Saturday, November 30 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, November 24 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Rakow
Sunday, November 10 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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