SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
40.32% ( -0.05) | 25.54% ( 0.02) | 34.13% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( -0.06) | 48.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( -0.06) | 70.58% ( 0.05) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.05) | 23.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( -0.07) | 57.93% ( 0.07) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( -0.02) | 62.64% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.13% |
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