SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
49.31% ( -0.06) | 25.56% ( 0.02) | 25.13% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( -0.03) | 52.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.03) | 74.43% ( 0.03) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( -0.04) | 21.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.55% ( -0.06) | 54.45% ( 0.06) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( 0.02) | 36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% ( 0.02) | 72.78% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.13% |
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