SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Lech Poznan |
44.71% ( -0.97) | 25.83% ( 0.25) | 29.46% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( -0.65) | 51.22% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( -0.57) | 73.06% ( 0.57) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.73) | 22.84% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.43% ( -1.09) | 56.57% ( 1.09) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( 0.2) | 31.72% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.23) | 68.14% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.46% |
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