SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
26.02% ( 0.03) | 23.51% ( 0) | 50.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.02) | 43.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0.02) | 65.86% ( -0.02) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.03) | 30.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.57% ( 0.04) | 66.43% ( -0.04) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% | 17.31% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.33% | 47.66% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.02% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.88% Total : 50.48% |
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