SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
27.83% ( 0.52) | 24.48% ( 0.14) | 47.69% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.25) | 46.42% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.24) | 68.7% ( 0.23) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( 0.26) | 30.43% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( 0.31) | 66.64% ( -0.31) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.37) | 19.54% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( -0.61) | 51.45% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.83% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.69% |
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