SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Widzew Lodz win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
65.1% ( 1.1) | 19.51% ( -0.4) | 15.39% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% ( 0.49) | 39.94% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( 0.51) | 62.3% ( -0.51) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.48% ( 0.45) | 11.52% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.58% ( 0.95) | 36.42% ( -0.95) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% ( -0.58) | 38.79% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -0.55) | 75.52% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.1% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.39% |
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