SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 53.99%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
53.99% ( -0.37) | 22.93% ( 0.06) | 23.08% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( 0.06) | 43.7% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0.07) | 66.09% ( -0.06) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.11) | 16.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( -0.19) | 45.55% ( 0.19) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0.31) | 32.82% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% ( 0.34) | 69.38% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.08% |
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