SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Korona Kielce |
52.21% ( -0.41) | 23.64% ( 0.27) | 24.15% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.25% ( -1.04) | 45.74% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( -0.99) | 68.06% ( 1) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.53) | 17.51% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( -0.94) | 48.02% ( 0.94) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( -0.44) | 33% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( -0.49) | 69.59% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.73% Total : 52.21% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.15% |
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