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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 2
Szczecin

Pululu (24'), Imaz (45')
Romanczuk (50'), Dieguez (59'), Sacek (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Grosicki (15'), Borges (57')
Ulvestad (62')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, April 20 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPogon Szczecin
42.5% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39) 24.45% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 33.05% (0.311 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.96% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (-0.226 -0.23)43.78% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-0.222 -0.22)66.17% (0.218 0.22)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)20.71% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.425 -0.42)53.32% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (0.078000000000003 0.08)25.63% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.10700000000001 0.11)60.53% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.5%
    Pogon Szczecin 33.05%
    Draw 24.45%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawPogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 42.5%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, April 20 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-3 Cracovia
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 6-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 5-0 Ruch Chorzow
Friday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-1 Cracovia
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-2 Szczecin
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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