SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Qarabag FK |
47.44% ( 0.05) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 27.6% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( -0.14) | 48.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( -0.13) | 70.78% ( 0.13) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.04) | 20.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( -0.06) | 53.07% ( 0.06) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( -0.12) | 31.78% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( -0.14) | 68.21% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.6% |
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