Though Rakow were dominant during the first leg, they failed to fully capitalise on their supremacy and still have work to do in Tuesday's return. Nonetheless, they can control events in Tallinn too, and another win would seal progress to the second qualifying stage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
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