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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
1 - 0
Flora

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSV 4-2 Rakow
Saturday, December 10 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
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Last Game: SJK 4-2 Flora
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 Flora

Rakow have risen through the ranks in Polish football and their next step is making an impact on the continental stage. While they should have too much firepower for Flora on Tuesday, a lack of match-fitness could prove a limiting factor, so it may be only a slim advantage they take to Tallinn next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Flora had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Flora win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rakow Czestochowa.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawFlora
54.4% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.2%22.41%
Both teams to score 54.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06%67.95% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.54%
Flora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51%34.49% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8%71.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 54.4%
    Flora 22.41%
    Draw 23.19%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawFlora
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.4%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 10.96%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.12%
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 22.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 4-2 Rakow
Saturday, December 10 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-0 Rakow
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rakow 2-1 Slavia Prague
Thursday, August 18 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 11 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-2 Rakow
Thursday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Astana 0-1 Rakow
Thursday, July 28 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: SJK 4-2 Flora
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Flora 1-0 SJK
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 1-0 Flora
Thursday, December 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Flora 1-0 Partizan
Thursday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Flora 2-2 Anorthosis
Thursday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anorthosis 2-2 Flora
Thursday, October 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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