SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slask Wroclaw win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slask Wroclaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slask Wroclaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
44.04% ( -0.52) | 26.44% ( 0.16) | 29.53% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.37% ( -0.49) | 53.63% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( -0.41) | 75.13% ( 0.41) |
| Slask Wroclaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.47) | 24.21% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( -0.67) | 58.55% ( 0.66) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.01) | 32.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0.01) | 69.5% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.53% |
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