SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
43.66% ( 0.33) | 25.17% ( -0.12) | 31.17% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( 0.43) | 47.69% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( 0.4) | 69.89% ( -0.4) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0.34) | 21.83% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( 0.51) | 55.06% ( -0.5) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 0.08) | 28.74% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 0.1) | 64.57% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
