SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Lech Poznan |
31.79% ( 0.36) | 24.59% ( 0.06) | 43.62% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( -0.12) | 44.86% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( -0.12) | 67.22% ( 0.12) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( 0.17) | 26.94% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( 0.22) | 62.27% ( -0.22) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.24) | 20.66% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -0.38) | 53.24% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.79% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.62% |
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