SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ruch Chorzow | Draw | Lech Poznan |
30.31% ( -0.31) | 26% ( 0.08) | 43.69% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( -0.45) | 51.55% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( -0.39) | 73.35% ( 0.39) |
| Ruch Chorzow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0.45) | 31.28% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.52) | 67.63% ( 0.52) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.08) | 23.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.51% ( -0.12) | 57.49% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ruch Chorzow | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.69% |
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