SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest LKS Lodz win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LKS Lodz | Draw | Lech Poznan |
25.65% ( 0.25) | 24.67% ( -0.01) | 49.68% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( 0.22) | 48.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( 0.2) | 70.9% ( -0.2) |
| LKS Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( 0.33) | 33.39% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( 0.35) | 70.02% ( -0.35) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.01) | 19.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( -0.02) | 51.65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| LKS Lodz | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.66% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.68% |
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