SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
36.93% ( 0.09) | 26.1% ( 0.03) | 36.97% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( -0.12) | 50.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.11) | 72.5% ( 0.1) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0) | 26.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( -0) | 61.8% ( -0) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( -0.17) | 61.77% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.97% |
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