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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
2 - 2
Stal Mielec

Kurminowski (27'), Madrzyk (66' og.)
Kolan (8'), Szmyt (34'), Nalepa (43'), Radwanski (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jaunzems (55'), Dadok (65')
Senger (83')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, April 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Gornik
Tuesday, April 22 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawStal Mielec
45.14% (0.101 0.1) 26.51% (0.123 0.12) 28.35% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 49.95% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (-0.588 -0.59)54.46% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.18% (-0.492 -0.49)75.82% (0.491 0.49)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)24.04% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.299 -0.3)58.31% (0.297 0.3)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.485 -0.48)34.25% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-0.524 -0.52)70.95% (0.523 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 45.13%
    Stal Mielec 28.35%
    Draw 26.5%
Zaglebie LubinDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 28.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, April 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Gornik
Friday, April 11 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, April 5 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 Rakow
Monday, March 31 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, March 16 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Katowice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, March 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Gornik
Tuesday, April 22 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gdansk 3-2 Stal Mielec
Monday, April 14 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-1 Cracovia
Friday, April 4 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 4-1 Stal Mielec
Sunday, March 30 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-4 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, March 15 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, March 8 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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