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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
4 - 2
Zaglebie Lubin

Shkurin (21'), Domanski (45'), Meriluoto (69'), Getinger (71')
Shkurin (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Munoz (26'), Wdowiak (90')
Nalepa (17'), Wozniak (90+3')
Nalepa (28')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Stal Mielec
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawZaglebie Lubin
28.56% (0.541 0.54) 26.35% (0.486 0.49) 45.08% (-1.032 -1.03)
Both teams to score 50.54% (-1.126 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-1.631 -1.63)53.76% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-1.39 -1.39)75.23% (1.385 1.39)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.444 -0.44)33.71% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.484 -0.48)70.37% (0.47999999999999 0.48)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-1.185 -1.19)23.76% (1.181 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-1.732 -1.73)57.9% (1.728 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 28.56%
    Zaglebie Lubin 45.08%
    Draw 26.35%
Stal MielecDrawZaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.443 0.44)
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.56%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.498 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 11.51% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Stal Mielec
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Friday, August 25 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 2-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, August 19 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Stal Mielec
Monday, August 7 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, August 18 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, August 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 29 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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