Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Stal Mielec	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
28.56% ( 0.54)	26.35% ( 0.49)	45.08% ( -1.03)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

-1.63)

53.76% (

1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.77% (

-1.39)

75.23% (

1.39)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

-0.44)

33.71% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.48)

70.37% (

0.48)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

-1.19)

23.76% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1% (

-1.73)

57.9% (

1.73)

Score Analysis

Stal Mielec 28.56%

Zaglebie Lubin 45.08%

Draw 26.35%

Stal Mielec	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.56%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.08%