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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
61.31% ( -0.42) | 19.8% ( 0.19) | 18.89% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.85% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( -0.55) | 34.79% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.25% ( -0.62) | 56.75% ( 0.62) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89% ( -0.27) | 11% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.72% ( -0.61) | 35.28% ( 0.6) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.1) | 31.63% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( -0.12) | 68.04% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 61.31% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.8% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 18.89% |
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