SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
42.2% ( -0.05) | 24.21% ( 0.04) | 33.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( -0.19) | 42.48% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% ( -0.19) | 64.89% ( 0.18) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.69% ( -0.1) | 20.3% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.32% ( -0.16) | 52.67% ( 0.16) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.09) | 24.7% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -0.12) | 59.24% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.2% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.58% |
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