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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
2 - 0
Arsenal U21s

Ball (3'), Ladapo (85')
Edwards (21'), Edmundson (71'), Ball (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Arsenal Under-21s

Having already got a win under their belts, Arsenal's youngsters will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Ipswich. However, we cannot ignore the form of the Tractors Boys, who we feel will prevail from this contest in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
67.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 14.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 55.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.47% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)9.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.73%
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)75.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 67.75%
    Arsenal Under-21s 14.07%
    Draw 18.17%
Ipswich TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.51%
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 2.01%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 67.75%
1-1 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.17%
1-2 @ 4.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 14.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Northampton
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Ipswich
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 1-1 Wolves U21s
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 4-1 Blackburn U21s
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-2 Arsenal U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 4-1 Chelsea U21s
Saturday, August 20 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: West Ham U21s 2-3 Arsenal U21s
Friday, August 12 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1


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