SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
53.12% ( 0.71) | 21.79% ( -0.12) | 25.09% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.03) | 36.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.6% ( -0.03) | 58.4% ( 0.03) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( 0.21) | 13.82% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.83% ( 0.42) | 41.17% ( -0.43) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.45) | 27.14% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( -0.59) | 62.53% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.85% Total : 25.09% |
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