SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
25.89% ( -0.46) | 20.85% ( -0.09) | 53.25% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 67.21% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.12% ( -0) | 30.88% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.75% ( -0) | 52.24% ( 0) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( -0.31) | 23.66% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( -0.45) | 57.77% ( 0.44) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( 0.16) | 11.94% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.67% ( 0.33) | 37.32% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.89% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 53.25% |
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