Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
52.82% ( -1.19) | 22.05% ( 0.39) | 25.13% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.5% ( -1.07) | 37.5% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.27% ( -1.16) | 59.73% ( 1.16) |
Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( -0.75) | 14.34% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% ( -1.47) | 42.19% ( 1.47) |
Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( 0.03) | 27.77% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( 0.04) | 63.35% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 25.13% |
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