Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
