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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 37.72% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.1%) and 2-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
37.72% ( 0.1) | 21.01% ( 0.02) | 41.27% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 73.37% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.08) | 25.52% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.41% ( -0.1) | 45.59% ( 0.1) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0) | 14.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.56% ( 0.01) | 43.43% ( -0.01) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% ( -0.07) | 13.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.09% ( -0.14) | 40.91% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0)1-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.22% Total : 37.72% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.31% 3-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.27% |
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