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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.73%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
24.99% ( -0.37) | 20.11% ( -0.04) | 54.89% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 69.07% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.9% ( -0.21) | 28.1% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.13% ( -0.26) | 48.86% ( 0.26) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0.36) | 22.75% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( -0.53) | 56.43% ( 0.53) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.41% ( 0.03) | 10.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.64% ( 0.08) | 34.35% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.99% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.89% |
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