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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
43.58% ( -0.61) | 23.35% ( 0.29) | 33.07% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 62.97% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.47% ( -1.28) | 38.53% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% ( -1.37) | 60.83% ( 1.37) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( -0.76) | 18.09% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.98% ( -1.31) | 49.02% ( 1.31) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.43) | 23.12% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( -0.63) | 56.98% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.07% |
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