The strength of Chelsea Under-21s for this match is yet to be confirmed, but it will be a tough game either way for the Blues against a decent League One outfit, and we are tipping Cheltenham to edge this contest to advance to the next round of the competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
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