SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-21s win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
29.51% ( -0.27) | 21.41% ( 0.07) | 49.08% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 68.33% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.51) | 30.72% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.94% ( -0.6) | 52.06% ( 0.61) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.41) | 21.34% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0.64) | 54.3% ( 0.64) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% ( -0.12) | 13.13% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.21% ( -0.24) | 39.79% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.51% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.06% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.08% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
