Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-23s win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 39.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (4.98%) and 1-3 (4.89%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.