SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 61%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 19.68% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-3 (7.29%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
19.68% ( 0.04) | 19.31% ( 0.11) | 61% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.26% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.48) | 31.06% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.54% ( -0.58) | 52.45% ( 0.57) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.26) | 28.62% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( -0.32) | 64.43% ( 0.32) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.02% ( -0.18) | 9.97% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.03% ( -0.41) | 32.96% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 19.68% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.31% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.68% Total : 61% |
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