SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Manchester United Under-21s | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 13 | West Ham United Under-21s | 4 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers Under-21s | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
42.85% ( 2.41) | 24.74% ( -0.26) | 32.41% ( -2.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.63) | 45.3% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% ( 0.6) | 67.64% ( -0.6) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 1.42) | 21.19% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 2.15) | 54.07% ( -2.16) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -1) | 26.76% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -1.33) | 62.03% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.41% |
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