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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.07%) and 3-1 (5%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
40.76% ( 2.4) | 21.94% ( -0) | 37.29% ( -2.4) |
| Both teams to score 69.53% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.57% ( -0.06) | 30.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.3% ( -0.07) | 51.7% ( 0.07) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( 0.94) | 15.9% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( 1.71) | 45.15% ( -1.71) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( -1.02) | 17.32% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( -1.82) | 47.7% ( 1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.16)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.83% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.13)3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.21% Total : 37.29% |
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