SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 64.74%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 17.94% and a draw had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
64.74% ( 0.51) | 17.32% ( -0.2) | 17.94% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 68.88% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76% ( 0.47) | 24% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.63) | 43.6% ( -0.64) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.8% ( 0.22) | 7.2% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.86% ( 0.59) | 26.14% ( -0.59) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( 0.03) | 25.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% ( 0.04) | 60.72% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 5.05% Total : 64.74% | 1-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.32% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 17.94% |
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